城市化、城乡收入差距与经济增长--基于我国省级面板数据的实证研究  

Urbanization,Urban-Rural Income Gap and Economic Growth——An Empirical Research Based on Provincial Panel Data in China

作　　者：曹裕[1] 陈晓红 马跃如[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学商学院 [2]不详

出　　处：《统计研究》2010年第3期29-36,共8页Statistical Research

基　　金：教育部长江学者和创新团队发展计划项目(IRT0761);湖南省社科基金项目(07YBB019);湖南省中小企业发展研究中心的资助;教育部人文社会科学研究项目基金资助(09YJC790262)

摘　　要：本文基于1987-2006年间省级面板数据设定面板协整模型,分析我国城市化水平、城乡收入差距与经济增长的长期关系。研究发现在1987-2006年间我国城乡收入差距具有明显的阶段波动性,且呈扩大的趋势;我国的城市化水平、城乡差距与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的面板协整关系,总体看来,城市化缩小城乡收入差距的作用显著,城乡收入差距不利于经济增长,但这两种效应均具有显著的区域差异。本文的结论说明,在加快城市化进程中做好户籍制度改革,在收入分配问题上因地制宜,有利于从根本上缩小城乡收入差距,改变我国城乡收入差距对经济增长的抑制效应。This paper established a panel co-integration model based on the provincial panel data from 1987 to 2006,to explore the long relationship between the urbanization,urban-rural income gap and economic growth in China.The results show that,the urban-rural income gap in China presents clear periodic volatility,but the trend of the gap is continuing widening.There is a long-term stable panel co-integration relationship between the level of urbanization,urban-rural income gap,and the economic growth in China.Generally speaking,urbanization plays a significant role in narrowing the urban-rural income gap,but the urban-rural income gap is not conducive to economic growth,there are significant regional differences in both effects above.This article concludes that,doing a good job in the household registration system reform in the process of promoting urbanization,adjust measures in the issues of income distribution according to local conditions is conducive to fundamentally narrow the urban-rural income gap and change the urban-rural income gap＇s restraining effect to economic growth.

关 键 词：城市化 城乡差距 经济增长 面板单位根 面板协整 

分 类 号：C812[社会学—统计学]