全球年平均人为热释放气候强迫的估算  

Preliminary Estimate of the Global Average Annual Climate Forcing Resulted from Anthropogenic Heat Release

作　　者：石广玉[1] 戴铁[1,2] 檀赛春[1] 申彦波[3] 王标[1] 赵剑琦[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室,北京100029 [2]中国科学院研究生院,北京100049 [3]中国气象局国家气候中心,北京100081

出　　处：《气候变化研究进展》2010年第2期119-122,共4页Climate Change Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目"人为热释放气候效应的数值模拟研究"(40775008)

摘　　要：利用能源经济领域具有权威性的英国石油公司(BP)世界能源统计资料和联合国人口统计资料,通过一些简单的数值计算,初步估算了人为热释放的全球气候强迫。结果表明:当前(2008年)全球年平均人为热释放的气候强迫还不是很大,约为0.031W/m2;但随着人口及能源消费总量的增加,未来人为热释放产生的全球年平均气候强迫将有可能达0.30W/m2。The release of heat into the environment for human activities, such as energy consumption and human metabolism, is called anthropogenic heat release. During the process of anthropogenic heat release, the ground and troposphere will be heated, which have several impacts on urban climate change, and furthermore which may aggravate the global climate change. The statistical data of world energy consumption from British Petroleum and the demographic information from the United Nations Population Division are used to explore the impacts of anthropogenic heat on the global climate change. The results indicate that the current global annual climatic forcing of anthropogenic heat release is not yet large, about 0.031W/m^2; but with the population and the total energy consumption increasing, the future global annual climatic forcing of anthropogenic heat release may reach 0.30 W/m^2.

关 键 词：人为热释放 能源消费 气候强迫 

分 类 号：P461.8[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]