国际金融危机对我国就业的影响分析  

How and What International Financial Crisis Affects China's Employment

作　　者：王会娟[1,2,3] 陈锡康[1,2,3] 祝坤福[1,2,3] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京100190 [2]中国科学院管理、决策与信息系统重点实验室,北京100190 [3]中国科学院预测科学研究中心,北京100190

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2010年第5期58-65,共8页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：基金委国际合作重大项目(70810107020);国家自然科学基金(60874119,70871108)

摘　　要：利用区分加工出口的非竞争型投入占用产出模型,从受国际金融危机影响最为直接的出口、投资角度出发,测算了国际金融危机对我国就业的影响.测算结果显示:最近一年金融危机对我国就业影响是逐步加剧的;重点行业影响较为集中;由于我国宏观调控政策的及时准确,刺激经济计划的有效实施在很大程度上抵消了金融危机的影响.This paper uses an input-occupancy-output model of the non-competitive imports type capturing China＇s processing exports to calculate the impact of international financial crisis on China＇s employment from the point of export and investment, which are most directly affected by the international financial crisis. The results show that： negative impact of the financial crisis on China＇s employment is gradually intensified; in terms of industry the impact is mainly on several key industries. The negative impacts, however, are greatly lessened due to China＇s timely implemented macro-control policies.

关 键 词：金融危机 就业 投入占用产出模型 

分 类 号：F249.2[经济管理—劳动经济] F224[经济管理—国民经济]