中国金融发展与对外贸易互动关系研究——基于中国纺织产业的VAR模型分析  

Study on Interaction between China's Financial Development and Foreign Trade:Based on the VAR Model Analysis of China's Textile Industry

作　　者：杨丹萍[1] 毛江楠[1] 

机构地区：[1]宁波大学商学院,315211

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2010年第4期98-105,共8页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目<中国金融发展与对外贸易的互动机制及政策取向研究>(项目编号:70873066)的阶段性成果之一

摘　　要：本文以我国纺织产业1986-2008年的相关数据为样本,基于VAR模型的分析框架实证研究了中国金融发展与对外贸易的互动关系。结果表明:金融发展与对外贸易之间存在着稳定的长期均衡关系,其中纺织产业进出口贸易对金融发展具有微弱的促进作用,金融发展对纺织产业进出口贸易具有显著的促进作用。短期中,基于纺织产业视角的金融发展与对外贸易之间的相关性比较微弱。因此,我国应加快金融改革与创新的步伐,加大对产业发展的融资支持。Taking data of China＇ s textile industry in 1986-2008 as sample, based on VAR mod- el, this paper makes an empirical study on the interaction between China＇ s financial development and foreign trade. The results show that there exists a long and stable equilibrium relationship between financial development and foreign trade. The import and export of textile industry has a weak impact on financial development, while financial development has a significant impact on the import and export of textile industry. In the short rim, the correlation between financial development and foreign trade is relatively feeble from the perspective of textile industry. Therefore, China should accelerate the pace of financial reform and innovation, and increase financial support for industrial development.

关 键 词：金融发展 对外贸易 向量自回归模型 

分 类 号：F832.7[经济管理—金融学]