2010年亚运会刘翔110米栏竞争实力的最优组合预测与分析  

Prediction and Analysis the Optimum Combination of Competitiveness of Liu Xiang in 2010 Asian Games

作　　者：王珽珽[1] 杜少武[1] 廖蓉蓉[1] 肖随龙 付百胜[3] 

机构地区：[1]江西师范大学体育学院,南昌330027 [2]江西应用职业技术学院,赣州341000 [3]江西旅游商贸职业学院,南昌330000

出　　处：《天津体育学院学报》2010年第2期167-170,共4页Journal of Tianjin University of Sport

摘　　要：运用数据建模、最优组合预测等方法,探讨刘翔伤愈复出后的竞技状态、成绩动态变化趋势及存在的问题。从而得出结论:(1)经过整合优化分析,2010年亚运会110m栏第一名成绩为13.06s,而刘翔2010年亚运会110m栏成绩时间将为13.08s,刘翔只要在备战中进一步恢复竞技状态、防止伤病复发、逐步提高成绩的稳定性,刘翔很可能卫冕2010年亚运会110m栏项目的冠军。(2)要充分、合理地利用东道主优势,这对刘翔在2010年亚运会的高水平发挥具有重要意义。Using data modeling, the optimal combination forecasting methods and so on, the purpose of this paper is to explore the competitive status after Liu Xiang＇s sport injuries rehabilitation and the dynamics trend of achievements. The conclusion are： 1） After integration and optimization analysis, the first score of 110m hurdles mark will be 13.06 seconds in the 2010 Asian Games and Liu Xiang＇s mark will be 13.08 seconds, as long as Liu Xiang should be further restore competitive state, prevent recurrence of injury, and gradually improve the performance stability, Liu Xiang will be likely to defend the 2010 Asian Games 110m hurdles. 2） Make full and reasonable use of the host advantage, it will make great significance to Liu Xiang for his high level of play.

关 键 词：2010年亚运会 刘翔 最优组合 

分 类 号：G822.6[文化科学—体育训练]