投入产出分析框架下的产业结构协调发展测度  

Measuring of Coordinated Development of Industrial Structure in the Framework of Input-Output Analysis

作　　者：唐志鹏[1,2] 刘卫东[1,2] 刘红光[2,3] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京100101 [2]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 [3]中国科学院研究生院,北京100049

出　　处：《中国软科学》2010年第3期103-110,共8页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家科技攻关计划(2007BAC03A11-04);国家自然科学基金面上项目(70871108)

摘　　要：产业结构是国民经济结构的重要组成部分,产业结构的协调发展有助于国民经济的稳定增长。本文在投入产出分析框架下对产业结构的协调发展提出了新的理论方法测度,并采用2002年中国非竞争型投入产出表26个部门作了相关计算,指出了4个影响CO2减排的能源部门的优先调整顺序,以实现产业结构协调发展达到CO2减排。同时研究发现,我国2002年整个产业结构的协调度并不高,需要加大调整力度推进产业结构优化升级,这为我国在制定产业政策提供了参考借鉴。Industrial structure is an important component of national economic structure, the coordinated development of regional industrial structure can help to maintain a steady national economic growth in the region. We bring forward a measuring method of coordinated development of industrial structure. We calculate the coordinated development of Chinese industrial structure based on non - competition input - output table of China in 2002. As results, we show the order of adjustment of four energy sources sectors which affect CO2 abatement so that we can implement the goal of CO2 abatement with the industrial adjustment, and we find the coordinated degree of Chinese whole industrial structure is not high in 2002, so we should enhance adjustment of Chinese industrial structure in order to promote the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure. These results provide proposal for our government＇s making industrial policy.

关 键 词：产业结构 协调发展 投入产出分析 完全增加值 CO2减排 

分 类 号：N94[自然科学总论—系统科学]