基于ESDA和CSDA的京津冀区域经济空间结构实证分析  

Empirical Analysis of Economic Spatial Structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region Based on ESDA and CSDA

作　　者：武剑[1] 杨爱婷[2] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079 [2]华中科技大学经济学院,湖北武汉430000

出　　处：《中国软科学》2010年第3期111-119,共9页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目"贯彻落实科学发展观与完善开放型经济体系研究"(07&ZD017)

摘　　要：运用空间计量经济学中的ESDA和CSDA技术,对1992-2007年京津冀地区经济空间结构的格局和演变进行了分析。ESDA的结果表明,京津冀地区的经济空间差异的总体趋势是在不断扩大的,北京、天津、唐山一带是京津冀经济中心,其扩散效应明显大于极化效应,而河北的西北部、中南部是经济落后区,发展缓慢。CS-DA的结果表明,京津冀空间结构属于空间误差模式,说明经济中心和行政中心错位是导致目前京津冀空间结构不合理的一个重要原因。The article analyses the economic spatial structure of Beijing- Tianjin- Hebei region from 1992 to 2007 with both Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis（ESDA） and Confirmatory Spatial Data Analysis （CSDA） in spatial econometrics. The results show that, according to technical analysis from ESDA, the economic spatial disparity of Beijing -Tianjin - Hebei region is increasing in the general trend, Beijing, Tianjin and Tangsban have become the economic center of Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei region, whose spillover effects is bigger than their polarization effects, the north - west, central and southern areas of Hebei are developing slowly and are economically backward. According to technical analysis from CSDA, the economic spatial structure of Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei region belongs to the space error model, which indicates that the administrative center doesnt match economic center is the main reason why Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei region does not form a reasonable economic spatial structure.

关 键 词：ESDA 空间权重矩阵 CSDA 空间误差模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]