系统动态安全评价研究现状及发展趋势  

The Present Situation and Development Trend of the Research on System Dynamic Safety Assessment

作　　者：吴媛媛[1] 蔡康旭[1] 方俊生[1] 杨弋[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南科技大学能源与安全工程学院,湖南湘潭411201

出　　处：《科技情报开发与经济》2010年第7期126-130,共5页Sci-Tech Information Development & Economy

摘　　要：阐述了国内外系统安全评价方法研究的现状及发展趋势,对系统动态安全评价的内涵按指标体系的动态性、指标权重的动态性和评价方法的动态性进行了分析,指出了当前动态安全评价方法存在的问题,并对其发展趋势作了展望。This paper the present situation and the development trend of the research on domestic ands foreign system dynamic safety assessment methods, analyzes the connotations of dynamic safety assessment from the aspects of the dynamic nature of index system, the dynamic nature of index weight and the dynamic nature of assessment method, points out some problems exiting in current dynamic safety assessment methods, and looks forward to their development trend.

关 键 词：系统动态安全评价 变权 时间序列 

分 类 号：X913[环境科学与工程—安全科学]