考虑人口、经济、环境因素的城市电力需求预测  

Prediction of Urban Power Demand Considering the Factors of Population Economy and Environment

作　　者：刘丽香[1] 孟庆鹏[1] 

机构地区：[1]河北工程技术高等专科学校经济贸易系,河北沧州061001

出　　处：《河北工程技术高等专科学校学报》2010年第1期30-33,55,共5页Journal of Hebei Engineering and Technical College Quarterly

摘　　要：文中以北京市为例,建立了人口、经济、环境、电力消费模型,并进行了仿真及检验,通过模拟可得到2007-2020年北京市用电量、用电结构、电力消费等指标,预测结果与北京市的相关规划目标接近或基本吻合。Taking Beijing as an example,we have set up a model of population economy,environment and power consumption and have implemented the simulation and examination.From the simulation,we can obtain the indice of power consumption and power utilization structure of Beijing from 2007 to 2020.The result of prediction is close to the relative planning target of Beijing.

关 键 词：城市经济 系统动力学 电力需求 预测 

分 类 号：F426.61[经济管理—产业经济]