中国境内旅游产业潜力研究:区域差异与路径选择  

Study on the Potential of Chinese Tourism Industry:Spatial Variation and Choice of Development Path

作　　者：冯学钢[1] 于秋阳[1] 

机构地区：[1]华东师范大学商学院

出　　处：《管理学报》2010年第4期577-584,632,共9页Chinese Journal of Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(06BJY099)

摘　　要：潜力的积累是旅游产业取得现实竞争力的前提和基础,更是获得和提升自身可持续发展能力的源泉和保障。从宏观、中观和微观层次对旅游产业这一综合的经济系统进行解构,并构建评价指标体系;选取2005~2007年3年的平均值,运用SPSS 14.0统计分析工具对旅游产业的主要影响因子进行筛选,并对中国31个省、自治区、直辖市的旅游产业潜力展开分层评价、综合评价和聚类分析,继而深入探究潜力的区域分布差异及发展路径类型选择,以期把握当前中国境内旅游产业潜力现状,并为其积累与提升竞争力提供参考。The accumulation of potential is the precondition and basis for the acquisition of the present competitiveness as well as the source and guarantee for its sustainability.From the macroscopic,medium and microscopic perspective,this article deconstructs the tourism industry as a comprehensive system and builds the evaluation system with data of the year 2005,2006 and 2007.With Spss14.0,it filters the influencing factors and carries out the layered and integrated evaluation and also cluster analysis on that of 31 provinces,autonomous regions and municipality in China,and then deeply explores its spatial variation and types of developmental path to understand the current situation for the accumulation and improvement in this field.

关 键 词：旅游产业 潜力 区域差异 路径类型 

分 类 号：C93[经济管理—管理学] F592.3