中国区域经济增长关联性与协调发展研究  

STUDY ON CORRELATION AND COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH IN CHINA

作　　者：张伟丽[1,2] 覃成林[3] 

机构地区：[1]河南财经学院资源与环境科学系,中国河南郑州455002 [2]河南财经学院区域可持续发展研究中心,中国河南郑州455002 [3]暨南大学经济学院,中国广东广州510632

出　　处：《经济地理》2010年第4期537-541,536,共6页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目(编号:07AJL009);暨南大学人文社会科学引进人才项目(编号:2008JSYJ001);省部共建项目(编号:SBGJ090207)联合资助

摘　　要：文章提出了区域间经济增长关联性的定义,并以此定义为基础对我国东部、中部、西部及东北四大政策区域间经济增长的关联性进行检验。结果表明:①西部与东部及东北地区间均形成了良好的相互促进的经济增长关联性。同时,中部、东部及西部等三大地区之间也形成了较好的经济增长关联性。除此之外,其他区域组合之间不存在经济增长关联性。②西部经济增长是东部及东北地区经济增长的Granger原因,而东部、东北及西部同为中部地区经济增长的Granger原因。③利用VAR模型的脉冲响应函数方法分析了各区域的经济增长受到干扰后对其他区域经济增长的影响,并发现,发达的东部地区对欠发达的中部、西部及东北地区的经济具有明显的带动作用。然而,这些欠发达区域的经济对于东部地区的经济增长没有产生较强的推进作用,而且,欠发达区域之间也没有形成相互促进经济增长的机制。最后,提出了增强我国区域经济增长的关联性以推动区域经济协调发展进程的政策建议。This paper puts forward the definition of inter-regional economic growth correlation based on which growth correlation among the eastern, middle, western and north-eastern regions of China are tested. The results show： first, there exist good and mutual promoting economic growth correlations between western region and eastern, north-eastern regions. At the same time, fine economic growth correlations have also been found among middle, eastern and western regions. No economic growth correlations are found among other regions. Secondly, the economic growth in western region is the Granger cause of that in eastern and north-eastern regions, and eastern, north-eastern and western regions are all Granger cause of middle region＇s economic growth. Furthermore, this paper analyzes the effects of one region＇s interfered economic growth on other regions with impulse response function method of VAR model, which shows that the developed eastern region have great driving effects on less developed regions, but that is not true the other way round. And mutual promoting economic growth correlations have not been formed among less developed regions. Finally it puts forward policy advices on how to enhance the level of inter-regional economic growth correlation and then put forward the progress of coordinated development of regional economy.

关 键 词：经济增长 协整分析 GRANGER因果检验 脉冲响应函数 

分 类 号：F123.16[经济管理—世界经济]