聚合物驱潜力风险性评价软件的研制与应用  

DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION OF POTENTIAL RISK ASSESSMENT SOFTWARE FOR POLYMER FLOODING

作　　者：赵辉[1] 李阳[2] 曹琳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油大学石油工程学院,山东东营257061 [2]中国石油化工股份有限公司,北京100029

出　　处：《计算机应用与软件》2010年第4期54-56,70,共4页Computer Applications and Software

基　　金：国家高技术研究发展计划资助项目(2003AA602140)

摘　　要：针对目前聚合物驱潜力预测方法存在预测指标单一、不能综合考虑各风险性因素对开发效果影响的局限性,提出了基于蒙特卡洛风险性分析理论的聚合物驱技术潜力评价方法,研制了相应的聚合物驱风险性评价软件。应用实例表明该软件操作灵活,可综合考虑聚合物驱的技术、经济适应性及风险性,有效地完成聚合物驱开发效果的预测和风险性评价,较好地指导油田开发决策。Current potential prediction method for polymer flooding has the limitations that the prediction index is single and can not synthetically consider the impact of various risk factors on the development effect. To solve them,a potential evaluation approach for polymer flooding technique was presented on the basis of Monte-Carlo risk analysis theory,and the corresponding assessment software has also been developed. Practical application example indicated that the software is flexible to operate and is able to comprehensively take into account the technological and economic adaptability of the polymer flooding as well as the risk. It can efficiently accomplish the production prediction and risk assessment of polymer flooding and can provide a useful guidance for decision-making in oil field exploiting.

关 键 词：聚合物驱 软件 提高采收率 风险指数 蒙特卡洛 

分 类 号：TU984.116[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]