农户参与农田水利建设意愿影响因素的理论与实证分析——基于江西省619户种粮大户的微观调查数据  

Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of the Factors Influencing the Willingness of Farmers Participation in Construction of Water Conservancy works——Based on the Survey of 619 Major Rice-planting Farmers in Jiangxi Province

作　　者：朱红根[1,2] 翁贞林[1] 康兰媛[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西农业大学经济贸易学院,南昌330045 [2]江西农业大学三农问题研究中心,南昌330045

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2010年第4期539-546,共8页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70763002);国家自然科学基金项目(70963005)

摘　　要：利用江西619户种粮大户数据,运用博弈模型逻辑和Logistic模型从理论与实证上分析了农户参与农田水利建设意愿的影响因素。研究结果表明,种稻收益、粮食补贴政策评价、农业劳动力人数、易洪易涝面积比重及村庄双季稻种植比重等因素对农户参与农田水利建设意愿有显著正影响,兄弟姐妹个数对农户参与农田水利建设意愿有显著负影响,而户主年龄、文化程度、经营规模、区域类型等变量的影响不显著。Obtaining data of Jiangxi 619 major rice-planting farmers by questionnaire survey and on the basis of statistical analysis of the data,this paper uses Game model and Logistic model to analyze the factors which influencing farmers＇ willingness in both theoretical and empirical aspects.The results show that rice income,food subsidy policy evaluation,the number of agricultural labor,proportion of flood prone area and the proportion of double-croping rice have significantly positive impact on farmers＇ willingness,the number of brothers and sisters have negative impacts,while head of household age,education level,the operating scale and regional type have not significant impacts.

关 键 词：农业经济 农田水利 博弈模型 种粮大户 

分 类 号：S277.7[农业科学—农业水土工程]