高技术企业技术创新网络的系统动力学建模与仿真  

Modeling and simulation of high-tech enterprises innovation networks using system dynamics

作　　者：吴传荣[1,2,3] 曾德明[1] 陈英武[3] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学工商管理学院,长沙410082 [2]长沙理工大学经济与管理学院,长沙410114 [3]国防科技大学信息系统与管理学院,长沙410073

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》2010年第4期587-593,共7页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(70572058,70873038)

摘　　要：在深入分析高技术企业技术创新网络系统的构成要素及各要素相互关系的基础上,建立了能够刻画高技术企业技术创新网络发展变化的因果关系图与系统动力学模型。并用系统动力学建模工具软件Vensim实现了该模型.同时采用国家高技术产业统计年鉴公布的数据,对模型的有效性进行了验证,实验结果表明模型计算出来的数据与实际数据非常吻合.表明系统动力学方法能够有效模拟协作研发、标准化以及知识转移对高技术企业技术创新网络的发展影响.作为模型的应用,对今后几年高技术企业技术创新网络系统的关键指标进行了预测,并提出了为提高关键指标应采取的措施,为管理决策提供了参考依据.Based on the analysis of the components in high-tech enterprises innovation networks and the relations among them,a causal graph and a system dynamical model,which could describe the development of high-tech enterprises innovation networks,were built.The system dynamical model was realized by software tool Vensim.The validation of the model was taken by using the data from China statistical yearbooks on high-tech industry.The calculated results are in accordance with the actual data.The simulation results show that method of the model is valid for simulating the affection of RD cooperation, standardization,and knowledge transfer to high-tech enterprises innovation networks.As an application of this model,key indexes of high-tech enterprises innovation networks in the next few years are predicted. Some measures are suggested to increase these indexes.The presented model is feasible as computer aided decision support tool for managers.

关 键 词：创新网络 高技术企业 系统动力学 标准化 知识转移 

分 类 号：F113.2[经济管理—国际贸易]