东亚产业关联与经济相互依赖性——基于AIIOT2000的实证分析  

Industrial Linkages and Economic Interdependence in East Asia:An Empirical Analysis based on AIIOT 2000

作　　者：李晓[1] 张建平[1] 

机构地区：[1]吉林大学经济学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2010年第4期72-79,共8页World Economy Studies

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(06JJD790011);吉林大学"985工程"研究生创新基金资助项目(20081102)

摘　　要：国际产业关联反映一定区域内各经济体之间的投入产出联系,是分析区域产业结构联结、中间需求与最终需求结构关系、经济相互依赖性的重要工具。本文基于AIIOT2000的IRIO模型,应用产业后向关联效应、最终需求的产出效应、最终需求的增加值效应等3个基本模型,分析东亚10个经济体(含美国)的产业相互依存关系及其在中间产品市场和最终产品市场上的地位。研究发现,中国通过巨大的中间产品需求增量为东亚产业发展提供了最为重要的后向关联效应,而美国和日本则为东亚提供了主要的最终产品市场,带动区域内各产业的产出增加和增加值发生。The international industrial linkages into which the international input-output characteristics of industries among interregional or multiregional economies are mainly embodied,has tended to be a more useful tool for investigating connection of industrial structures,interaction between intermediate and final demand,and economic interdependence.Based on the AIIOT 2000,by employing the three basic models of AIIOT including the backward linkages effects,the impact of final demand on gross output,and the impact of final demand on gross value added,the paper was supposed to elucidate the industrial interdependence and the main driving forces in the intermediate and final product markets in East Asia.The conclusions are showed that China furnished the largest backward linkages effect to the region through the tremendous increment from intermediate product markets,while USA and Japan were more meaningful at the final product markets,due to the remarkable impacts of final demand both on gross output and on the gross value added.

关 键 词：东亚 AIIOT 产业关联 经济相互依赖性 最终需求 

分 类 号：F131[经济管理—世界经济]