基于凯恩斯消费理论的旅游消费与收入关系实证研究  

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Tourism Consumption and Income Based on Keynes' Consumptive Function Theory

作　　者：周文丽[1] 李世平[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100

出　　处：《旅游学刊》2010年第5期33-38,共6页Tourism Tribune

摘　　要：本文基于凯恩斯消费理论,根据1994～2007年间的数据,利用Eviews计量软件构建了城乡居民年总国内旅游消费支出与年总可支配收入、城乡居民基尼系数与国内旅游平均消费倾向之间的消费模型,得出城镇居民年总可支配收入增加100亿元,年总国内旅游消费支出增加6.4亿元,基尼系数每上升0.1,国内旅游平均消费倾向下降0.0051;农村居民年总纯收入每增加100亿元,年总国内旅游消费支出增加12.37亿元,基尼系数每上升0.1,国内旅游平均消费倾向上升0.0694等结论。Based on Keynes＇consumption theory,the paper,in accordance with the data from 1994 ～ 2007,constructs the consumption model between annual domestic tourism consumption expenditure of urban（rural） residents and their annual disposal income,their Gini coefficient and domestic average tourism consumption trend by using Eviews calculating software and obtains the following conclusions：annual total domestic tourism consumption expenditure will increase by 640 million yuan if annual total disposable income of urban and rural residents increases by 10 billion yuan,domestic average tourism consumption trend will decrease by 0.0051 if Gini coefficient increases by 0.1;annual total domestic tourism consumption expenditure will increase by 1.237 billion yuan if annual total net income of rural residents increases by 10 billion yuan,domestic total average tourism consumption trend will increase by 0.0694 if Gini Coefficient increases by 0.1.

关 键 词：消费理论 旅游消费 收入 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F014.5