基于灰色新陈代谢模型的郑州人口发展预测  

Population Development Forecast in Zhengzhou Based on Gray Metabolic Model

作　　者：孙红丽[1] 

机构地区：[1]商丘师范学院计算机科学系,河南商丘476000

出　　处：《河南科学》2010年第5期623-625,共3页Henan Science

基　　金：河南省科技厅项目(102300410191);河南省教育厅项目(2010A520032)

摘　　要：采用灰色新陈代谢模型对人口总数进行预测,通过预测结果分析,找出最佳预测模型.根据预测,2015年郑州人口将达812.6956万人,2020将达865.6011万人,2023年达898.9718万人,人口呈稳定增长趋势.In this article, it is used with gray metabolic model to predict the total population, through the prediction analysis, to find the best prediction model. According to projection result, the population will reach 8.126 956 million in 2015 at Zhengzhou, and in 2020 to approximately 8.656 011 million, and by 2023 will reach 8.989 718 million, it shows that the population appears a steady growth trend.

关 键 词：人口总数预测 灰色新陈代谢模型 精度检验 

分 类 号：TP183[自动化与计算机技术—控制理论与控制工程]