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作 者:张贵霞[1] 赵霞[1] 冯志生[1] 吴晶[1] 张贵仁[2]
机构地区:[1]江苏省地震局,中国南京210014 [2]呼和浩特铁路局集宁工务段,中国内蒙古012000
出 处:《地震地磁观测与研究》2010年第2期37-43,共7页Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research
基 金:江苏省地震局青年科学基金(200708);江苏省地震局青年科学基金(200702);2009年度震情跟踪合同制定向工作任务(2009020104)
摘 要:2008年5月12日T14:28汶川发生8.0级大地震,2008年5月13日T5:00江苏省发生滨海ML3.8地震。滨海地震是否是由汶川地震触发的、可指示滨海附近中短期内将发生中强地震的"诱发前震"?基于此,本文进行了如下研究:①统计南北地震带及中国台湾7.3级以上、日本7.5级以上大地震;②统计①中大震发生后3天时间(72 h)内,华北中南部地区发生的M_L 3以上地震;③统计大震发生后1年内在M_L 3地震附近地区(距震中350 km以内)发生的5级以上地震;④对上述3组地震是否存在链式关系进行统计研究,即研究特定条件下的A—F—B链式地震现象在华北中南部的预报效果。研究结果表明:根据目前所拥有的统计资料,无法确定2008年5月13日滨海M_L 3.8地震是由汶川8级地震诱发的"前兆地震"。After the 5.12 Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake, an earthquake ML 3. 8 occurred at Binhai area of Jiangsu Province in 13 May 2008. It is noted whether the Binhai earthquake was induced by the Wenchuan earthquake, and whether it is a "induced foreshock" which may imply the occurrence of moderate-strong earthquake in the moderate or short period nearby the Binhai area. In order to enclose the two problems, this paper will discuss the next subjects: (1) to count great shocks occurred in North-South Seismic Zone, Taiwan Province and Japan with Ms≥7. 3, Ms≥7. 3 and Ms≥7. 5, respectively; (2) to count earthquakes ML≥3. 0 occurred in North China region within 3 days after the earthquakes mentioned in (1); (3) to count earthquakes Ms ≥ 5. 0 occurring in 350 km around the epicenter of the earthquakes ML≥3.0 mentioned in (2) within a year after the great shocks mentioned in (1) ; (4) to analyze the chain relations among the above three group earthquakes, that is, the predicting effect of the North China area based on A--F--B chain earthquake method in a particular condition. It is concluded that the limited and insufficient counts can not ensure the Binhai earthquake is a "precursory earthquake" induced by the Wenchuan earthquake.
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