中国人口变动与经济增长  

China' s Population Changes and Economic Growth

作　　者：王桂新[1] 陈冠春[1] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学人口研究所,上海200433

出　　处：《人口学刊》2010年第3期3-9,共7页Population Journal

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目:人口;资源与环境经济学方法论研究(05AJY002);复旦大学"985"课题:中国城市化发展与流动人口社会融合研究(07FCZD030);国家科技支撑计划子课题:城乡人口流动变化监测技术研究(2006BAJ11B02)

摘　　要：人口具有生产和消费的双重属性,因此人口变动与经济增长密切相关。考察中国改革开放以来的经济增长态势,以人口为中心系统地分析影响中国改革开放以来经济持续高速增长的主要因素。中国的人口变动主要从四个方面促进了改革开放以来经济持续的高速增长;如果没有其他突发性因素的冲击,单从人口变动因素来看,中国经济还可能再持续增长二十年。The population has dual properties of production and consumption, so population changes and economic growth are closely related. The paper mainly studies the trend of economic growth since China＇s reform and opening up ; takes the population as the center to analyze the main influence factors of sustained high - speed economic growth since China＇s reform and opening up. It points out that China＇s population changes promote the high - speed economic growth mainly in four aspects since the reform and opening up; if there are no other sudden impacts, only considering population change, China＇s sustained economic growth could be kept for 20 years.

关 键 词：经济改革 人口变动 经济增长 

分 类 号：C924.24[社会学—人口学]