杉木人工林经济成熟龄的研究  

The Research on Age at Economic Maturity of Chinese Fir Plantations

作　　者：陈则生 

机构地区：[1]福建省供销合作社联合社,福州350003

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2010年第1期22-26,共5页Issues of Forestry Economics

摘　　要：利用杉木人工林标准地材料建立生长收获预估模型,根据技术经济指标采用净现值法研究经济成熟。结果表明:在现有技术经济指标的情况下,利率为5%时杉木人工林经济成熟龄为17年。若其它条件保持不变,木材价格或成本每增减20%,杉木人工林经济成熟龄将推迟或提前1年。利率对经济成熟龄的到来有显著影响,利率每增加1个百分点,经济成熟龄将提前1年。Using standards materials of Chinese fir plantations to establish Growth-Harvest Estimate Model, using net present value method to research economic maturity according to technical and economic indicator. The results show that： In existing technical and economic indicator situation, the age at economic maturity of Chinese fir plantations is 17 years when the interest rate is 5%. If other conditions maintain invariably, when the timber price or the cost fluctuates 20% every time, the age at economic maturity of Chinese fir plantations will postpone or ahead of time for 1 year. The interest rate has a significant influence on the arrival of economic mature age, every time when the interest rate increases 1%, the economical mature age will ahead of 1 year.

关 键 词：杉木 经济成熟 净现值 

分 类 号：F316.23[经济管理—产业经济]