我国艾滋病高危人群基数估计方法研究及其在流行形势分析中的应用  

Study on Methods for Population Size Estimation of HIV High Risk Groups and its Application in HIV/AIDS Situation Analysis in China

作　　者：徐鹏[1] 曾刚[1] 吕繁[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国疾病预防控制中心性病艾滋病预防控制中心,北京100050

出　　处：《医学研究杂志》2010年第5期41-45,共5页Journal of Medical Research

基　　金：卫生部重点课题(WA2002-03-01);"十五"国家科技攻关项目(2004BA719A02);UNAIDS(HQ/03/467886;HQ/05/402824);Unicef(CRQ/CHNA/2002/00000860);NIH(1R03AI06749-01A1)

摘　　要：目的研究适合我国艾滋病疫情的高危人群估计方法,并进行流行形势分析,为制定防治政策提供科学依据。方法通过试点研究确定不同类别高危人群基数估计的适宜方法。结果研究形成了不同类别高危人群基数估计的适宜方法和流程;确定了适于我国流行特点的疫情估计方法和参数;清晰阐明了我国艾滋病流行现状及特点。结论研究形成的方法,对准确掌握现存活感染人数起到关键作用;对艾滋病流行形势有了准确判断;促进了监测系统的完善和检测工作的加强;推动了"四免一关怀"政策的形成。Objective To investigate HIV high risk population size estimation method, analyze the epidemic situation in China and offer scientific evidence for policy making. Methods Appropriate methods to estimate different type high risk populations were ascertained by experimental study. Results Size estimation methods and procedures for different type high risk population were formed. Epidemic estimation and parameters fit for China were ascertained. HIV epidemic situation and characteristics were stated. Conclusion Methods formed in the study are the key points for the understanding of number of PLWHA, for the exact judgment of HIV epidemic, for the improvement of inspection system and examination work, for the formation of ＂ Four Free and One Care＂.

关 键 词：艾滋病 高危人群 基数估计 方法学 流行形势 

分 类 号：R512.91[医药卫生—内科学]