外部经济变量对我国货币需求模型影响程度的实证分析  

Empirical Analysis to the Degree of Influence of External Economic Variables to the Demand Model in China

作　　者：李玮[1] 郁婷婷 李双双[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学信息学院统计系

出　　处：《统计教育》2010年第6期7-16,共10页Statistical education

摘　　要：近年来,对于中国货币需求函数的实证研究越来越受到重视,分析影响货币需求的各方面因素,确定货币需求函数,探究我国现阶段国情下货币需求与其影响因素之间长期稳定的关系,对于指导、推测中国金融改革中货币政策的实践有着重大的意义。本文以中国货币需求为研究对象,运用现有的货币需求理论,结合中国实际情况,考虑我国经济发展进程中的一些经济因素和制度因素对我国的货币需求模型的影响,探讨分析我国货币需求的稳定性,建立中国的货币需求函数模型,并得出简单的结论,旨在为中国的货币需求的研究提供一些依据和政策建议。In recent years,the study of the function of currency deamand in China has been attached to more and more importance.The paper analyzes the factors influencing the currency demand,determines the function of the currency demand,and explores the long-term stable relationship between the currency demand and the influencing factors under China＇s current conditions.It has significant importance to the guidance and prediction of the currency polity in financial reform of China.The paper takes China＇s currency demand as the subiect of study,applies the existing theories of currency demand,and considers the influence of economic factors and regulations in the economic development on the currency demand model.It discusses and analyzes the stability of China＇s currency demand,establishes the function model and reaches conclusions to provide proof and policy suggestions to the study of China＇s currency demand.

关 键 词：货币需求函数 实证分析 协整 误差修正模型 

分 类 号：TS452[农业科学—烟草工业]