西部退耕还林工程可持续发展能力评价——以云南省鹤庆县、贵州省织金县和四川省朝天区为例  

Assessment of Sustainable Development Capacity of the Conversion of Cropland to Forest Project in Western China——Cases Study of Heqing County in Yunnan Province,Zhijin County in Guizhou Province and Chaotian District in Sichuan Province

作　　者：支玲[1] 杨明 卿向阳[3] 徐慧丽[1] 刘燕[1] 赵玉涛[4] 

机构地区：[1]西南林学院经济管理学院,昆明650224 [2]齐齐哈尔高等师范专科学校理工系,齐齐哈尔161005 [3]西南科技大学经济管理学院,绵阳621010 [4]国家林业局退耕还林办公室,北京100073

出　　处：《林业科学》2010年第5期161-168,共8页Scientia Silvae Sinicae

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70573110)

摘　　要：在理解退耕还林工程可持续发展能力内涵的基础上,从环境、经济、社会、智力四大系统的支持能力入手,建立退耕还林工程可持续发展能力评价指标体系;以云南省鹤庆县、贵州省织金县和四川省朝天区为例,采用层次分析法对退耕还林工程可持续发展能力进行评价。评价结果显示工程的可持续发展能力处于一般水平,其中经济系统对工程可持续发展的支持能力最弱;在探明实施中制约工程有效性和持续性的社会变量的基础上,提出工程可持续发展的若干对策。Based on understanding the meaning to sustainable capacity of the conversion of cropland to forest project,a set of indicators has been developed for assessing sustainable development capacity of the conversion of cropland to forest project from the environment,economical,social,intelligence system  s support ability. Heqing county in Yunnan Province,Zhijin county in Guizhou Province and Chaotian district in Sichuan Province were taken as examples,and assessments were conducted of sustainable development capacity of the project by means of analytic hierarchy process （AHP）. Its result was showed that the sustainable development capacity of the project was a little high,the economical system was weakest to sustainable development capacity of the project. Some countermeasures were put forward to promote sustainable development of the project by identifying social factors affecting the effectiveness and sustainability of the project.

关 键 词：西部 退耕还林工程 可持续发展 能力评价 层次分析法 

分 类 号：F307.2[经济管理—产业经济]