G-3汇率波动对中国内外资企业出口影响比较——基于引力模型的实证分析  

The impact of G-3 exchange rate volatility on exports from both domestic-funded and foreign-invested enterprises in china——empirical analysis based on a gravity model

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作  者:王帅[1] 范跃进[2] 

机构地区:[1]山东理工大学经济学院,山东淄博255049 [2]济南大学,山东济南250022

出  处:《山东理工大学学报(自然科学版)》2009年第4期41-46,共6页Journal of Shandong University of Technology:Natural Science Edition

摘  要:借鉴并设计"引力模型"、利用时序数据、多元线性回归与误差修正模型分别对我国不同性质企业的出口数据进行研究分析,检验结果表明,G-3汇率波动对我国的出口存在负效应,其中欧元/美元汇率波动对外资企业出口负面影响较为显著,而日元/美元汇率波动则对内资企业出口具有较大的负面效应,造成影响不同的原因在于内资企业与外资在华企业出口行为不同.为了应对G-3汇率波动,我国外贸经营企业应在调整产品出口结构、积极创建品牌优势和提升国际直销能力等方面作出努力.Different impacts on exparts from both demestic-funded and foreign-invested enterprises in China were studied by use of "Gravity Model" as well as ECM.The results show that G-3 exchange rate volatility is found to have a negative effect on Chinese exports.Moreover,the euro/dollar uncertainty has a significantly negative effect on foreign-invested enterprises' exports,while the yen/dollar fluctuation has a greatly negative influence on exports of domestic-funded ones,which results from the differences of export behaviors between both types of companies.Facing G-3 exchange rate volatility,foreign trade enterprises in China ought to make good efforts in such aspects as adjusting the export structure,establishing the brand advantage,promoting international direct-selling ability.

关 键 词:G-3汇率 外资企业 中资外贸经营企业 出口 引力模型 

分 类 号:F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]

 

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