我国图书出版发展趋势研究  

Study of the development trend of book publication in China

作　　者：任美林[1] 杨树成[1] 张莲[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆文理学院图书馆,重庆永川402160

出　　处：《重庆文理学院学报（自然科学版）》2010年第3期106-109,共4页Journal of Chongqing University of Arts and Sciences

基　　金：重庆文理学院校内资助项目(Y2008TS49)

摘　　要：利用中国统计年鉴公布的数据,从图书分类出版构成情况分析了近几年我国各类图书出版发展的趋势,对部分图书的种类或印数建立了线性预测模型。The paper analyzes the development trend of books publication from books publication constitution in recent years in China according to the data of Chinese statistics yearbook.It also analyzes development trend of every sort of books and builds trend forecast model in books sort and amount in printing,calculates some books publication from 2008 to 2012,uses ＂Chinese books classify mark＂ to forecast the amount of some books.

关 键 词：趋势预测 图书出版 图书分类 

分 类 号：G230[文化科学]