黄浦江水上客运安全评价  

Safety Evaluation for Waterway Passenger Transport in Huangpu River

作　　者：桑史良 孙亮[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海市航海学会,上海200090 [2]上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海200235

出　　处：《中国航海》2010年第2期63-69,共7页Navigation of China

基　　金：上海世博会事务协调局委托项目;上海市教委创新基金项目(080601)

摘　　要：为确保2010年上海世博会水上交通安全和黄浦江水上客运安全,在分析综合安全评估法(Formal Safety Assessment,FSA)目的、特点以及实施步骤等相关内容的基础上,按照FSA的模式,运用风险矩阵法和德尔菲法识别黄浦江水上客运危险源,并采用模糊数学理论建立黄浦江水上客运安全现状评价模型,从而实现对黄浦江水上客运安全的量化分析和评价,进而有针对性地提出决策建议。提出基于FSA的水上客运安全评价方法,可为世博会水上交通安全风险管理和黄浦江水上客运安全现状的提高提供参考。In order to ensure the safety of 2010 EXPO waterway traffic and waterway passenger transport of Huangpu River,quantitative safety study of the waterway passenger transport on Huangpu River is carried out with the formal Safety assessment,preceded by a fundamental introduction.The risk Matrix and Delphi technique are adopted for identification of the hazard sources to waterway passenger transport of Huangpu River.The assessment model of safety situation of waterway passenger transport on Huangpu River is developed with fussy mathematics theory and the quantitative safety study of the waterway passenger transport on Huangpu River is conducted.The suggestions on planning decisions are presented.

关 键 词：水路运输 水上客运 黄浦江 综合安全评估 模糊综合评判 危险识别 

分 类 号：U698.6[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]