伊拉克石油工业现状与发展趋势  

Iraq's oil industry-current situation and development

作　　者：尚艳丽[1] 殷冬青[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油集团经济技术研究院

出　　处：《国际石油经济》2010年第5期48-51,共4页International Petroleum Economics

摘　　要：美伊战争结束后，伊拉克的原油出口量逐年上升。2009年，伊拉克举行了两轮油气勘探开发招标，共推出18个油气田。到2010年5月，伊拉克已与外国石油公司签订了11个油田技术服务合同。按照伊拉克政府快速提高其原油产量的计划，如果这些油气田如期开发，伊拉克的原油产量将在未来7年内增加到1200万桶／日（6亿吨／年）以上。但由于受欧佩克限产、基础设施和出口能力不足、安全形势不稳定、油田自身条件等因素的影响，预计这一计划难以实现，估计到2020年伊拉克原油产量可达到3亿～4亿吨／年。伊油气产量的进一步增长将给世界石油市场带来显著影响。目前伊安全形势依然严峻，新签油气合同法律风险尚未完全排除，公共基础设施薄弱及油气出口能力不足，应引起与伊进行油气合作的外国石油公司注意并制定相应措施加以应对。Since the end of the Iraq war,Iraq's oil exports have been increasing year by year.In 2009,Iraq launched two rounds of upstream bidding for 18 oil and gas fields.So far,11 contracts have been signed with foreign oil companies that are expected to bring Iraq's oil production to over 12 million barrels per day(or 600 million tons/y) by 2017.Baghdad's actual performance is likely to be far more restrained.The reality,however,is that an increase of about 3 million tons/y to 4 million tons/y by 2020 is more likely,given the host of OPEC constraints,political,security,operational,law,infrastructure and export capacity challenges.Iraq's oil surge will influence world market drastically,and in a long run,Iraq will in no doubt play an important role in the world oil supply.But international oil companies investing in Iraq should identify such risks immediately and take reasonable actions to protect their interests.

关 键 词：伊拉克 石油工业 油气招标 原油产量 出口能力 风险 油气合作 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济]