山东省入境旅游经济差异及经济增长刺激效应  

Difference of In-Country Tourism Economy and Stimulation Effect to Economy Growing of Shandong Province

作　　者：张明东[1] 陆玉麒[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京师范大学地理科学学院,江苏南京210046

出　　处：《南京师大学报（自然科学版）》2010年第2期126-131,共6页Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(70573053)

摘　　要：借助于锡尔熵指数(Theil)和Granger因果检验模型,分析了山东省入境旅游经济的发展差异,并将其对经济增长的刺激效应进行了探讨,结果发现:①山东入境旅游总体差异主要是由沿海和内陆两大地带的地带内差异引起的,地带内差异高于地带间差异,但是沿海和内陆两大地带在空间结构上呈现出相互分离的态势;②对于山东省来说,入境旅游和经济增长之间、入境旅游和第三产业增长之间并没有显著的Granger因果关系;经济基础欠发达的内陆地带的入境旅游对经济增长和第三产业增长具有显著的刺激效应;在任何区域,第三产业增长是入境旅游经济增长的显著Granger原因.在此基础上探讨了入境旅游对于经济增长的刺激效应,即旅游资源的开发和建设、基础设施的完善和城市区位条件的改善等所引发的经济增长.With the help of Theil index and Granger causality checking model,the paper analyses the difference of in-country tourism development of Shandong province and probes into the stimulation effect to the economy growth.The results show that the in-country tourism economy of Shandong province is developing with deep difference among cities,between coastal and inland areas.Among them,it is the inter-zone difference that plays a major role but the coastal area and inland area are showing a separate state in space structure.For the whole province,in-country tourism and economy growing,in-country tourism and the third industry growing haven＇t shown significant causality;However,the in-country tourism is the significant causality to the economy growing and the third industry growing;Regardless of any region,the third industry growing is the significant causality to the in-country tourism.Basis these results,the paper probes into the in-country tourism＇s stimulation effect to the economy growing,such as the exploitation and construction of tourism resources,the improvement of infrastructure and the modification of the city＇s location condition,they all could lead to economy growing and development.

关 键 词：入境旅游 差异 GRANGER因果关系 山东省 

分 类 号：K919[历史地理—人文地理学]