城市综合客运枢纽交通方式换乘分担率模型  

Sharing rates model of different traffic ways in urban comprehensive passenger hub

作　　者：袁长伟[1,2] 陈荔[3] 张景峰[4] 

机构地区：[1]长安大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710064 [2]清华大学交通研究所,北京100084 [3]长安大学公路学院,陕西西安710064 [4]陕西省公安厅交通警察总队,陕西西安710038

出　　处：《长安大学学报（自然科学版）》2010年第3期66-70,共5页Journal of Chang’an University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(50808022)

摘　　要：为确定城市综合客运枢纽各交通方式的分担率,以RP/SP数据为基础,引入随机效用理论,考虑时间、费用、出行目的和收入4种因素对方式选择的影响,构建了综合客运枢纽内多方式两两交叉换乘分担率模型,并应用于深圳福田客运枢纽。应用结果表明:公交与地铁等公共交通方式分担了将近80%的客流,周末出租车分担率显著高出工作日;模型能够更有效地计算枢纽内一种交通方式换乘某一特定交通方式的选择概率,并计算枢纽内各运输方式的换乘分担率,为城市综合客运枢纽的规划提供决策支撑。In order to determine the sharing rates of different traffic ways in urban comprehensive passenger hub,based on RP/SP data,this paper used random utility theory,considered the affection of time,cost,travel purpose and income on the passenger＇s choice in urban comprehensive passenger hub,so as to analyze the sharing among different ways.When the model is used into Futian passenger hub,it reveals that bus and subway share by nearly 80% of the transportation,and at the weekend,the taxi-sharing is significantly higher than other days.The application results show that the model can calculate the choice probability of one transport mode transfer to another transport mode,and this model can accurately and efficiently calculate passenger＇ choice in urban comprehensive passenger hub.5 tabs,8 refs.

关 键 词：交通工程 综合客运枢纽 分担率模型 多方式换乘 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]