工业化进程中的“民工荒”形成机理实证研究——以浙闽津1550位农民工“二次流动”为例  

Empirical Studies on the Mechanism of the Farmer-turned Workers Shortage:Based on the 1550 Farmer-Turned Workers' "Second Migration" in Zhejiang,Fujian & Tianjing

作　　者：梁雄军 林云[4] 刘平青[5] 丁守海[6] 

机构地区：[1]台州市打私与海防口岸办 [2]浙江理工大学经济管理学院 [3]台州学院 [4]台州职业技术学院 [5]北京理工大学管理与经济学院 [6]中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院

出　　处：《产经评论》2010年第3期101-118,共18页Industrial Economic Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"全球价值链上中小企业劳动关系:从‘违规’到合规的组织社会化研究"(70872011;负责人:刘平青);"劳动规制对农民工的就业影响及管理政策研究:以提高最低工资标准为例"(70873128;负责人:丁守海);"基于社会性规制的中小企业健康与安全管理研究--以农民工为重点分析"(70503003;负责人:刘平青);浙江省社会科学界联合会研究项目"农村劳动力二次流动的特点;问题与对策"(06N125;负责人:梁雄军);台州市"四个一批"人才基金的资助

摘　　要：在中国经济体制和社会结构"双转型"过程中,1989年首次出现的"民工潮"问题在短短十几年里突然转变为"民工荒"现象,有其多方面原因。本文以农民工"二次流动"为视角,发展出引发和影响"民工荒"现象的系列变量,应用SPSS11.5对浙、闽、津三省(区)五城市1550位农民工的问卷调查数据进行统计分析检验,发现导致农民工"换企业流动"和"换地区流动"的8个因素将引发"民工荒",农民工个体的利益诉求、心理品格和企业管理效能以及政府政策行为等因素也对"民工荒"现象产生影响,且企业"用工荒"是区域"民工荒"前兆;在此基础上归纳出"民工荒"形成的一般机理。During the ＂double transition＂ of economic system and social structure in China, the problem that ＂thousands of farmers pour into cities every day＂ appeared in 1989 changed into ＂farmer-turned workers shortage＂ phenomenon in 10 years, the reasons are multifarious. The paper which is basde upon the ＂second migration＂of farmer-turned workers, developed a series of variables which lead and influence the ＂farmer-turned workers shortage＂ phenomenon.We analyze questionaire statistics by SPSS on 1550 farmer-turned workers working in 5 cities in Zhejiang, Fujian and Tianjin, find that the 8 factors leading farmer-turned workers leaving the factory and region are able to cause ＂farmer-turned workers shortage＂. In addition there are other influence factors, such as demand for interests and psychological character of farmer-turned workers, management efficiency of enterprise and policy behavior of government etc.. And the enterprises＇ ＂employees shortage＂ are premonition of the region＇s ＂farmer-turned workers shortage＂. The general mechanism of farmer-turned workers shortage is concluded.

关 键 词：“民工荒” 引发因素 影响因素 一般机理 

分 类 号：F328[经济管理—产业经济]