中国制成品出口的技术结构与经济增长之间的关系--基于2002-2007年省际数据的分析  

Technological Structure of China's Manufactured Goods Exports and Economic Growth:an Analysis Based on Inter-provincial Data from 2002 to 2007

作　　者：张如庆[1,2] 张二震[2] 

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学国际经济贸易学院 [2]南京大学经济学院国际经济贸易系,233041

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2010年第7期17-25,共9页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目《外贸顺差问题研究》(08AJY004);教育部哲学社会科学创新基地“南京大学经济转型和发展研究中心”子课题“对外开放与中国经济转型及发展”,教育部人文社会科学研究项目《中国制成品出口结构变迁与经济效应》(09YJC790001)的资助

摘　　要：在把制成品按技术含量细分的基础上,本文利用拓展的Feder模型和31个省市2002-2007年的面板数据,重点考察了我国制成品出口的技术结构与经济增长之间的关系。实证结果表明,我国制成品的出口确实通过该部门与非出口部门要素生产率的差别效应以及对非出口部门的外溢效应促进了经济增长。但是,不同技术含量的制成品出口对经济增长的影响并不一样,样本期内中等技术制成品的出口在经济增长中发挥了更大的作用,低技术制成品的出口次之,而高技术制成品的出口对经济增长暂无正效应。Using the panel data of 31 provinces from 2002 to 2007 and the extended Feder model, this paper explores the relationship between the technological structure of China＇ s manufactured goods exports and economic growth based on the subdivision of manufactured goods according to the technical content. The empirical result shows that China＇ s manufactured goods exports have actually promoted economic growth through the difference effects in factor productivity and spillover effects. However, the impacts of the manufactured goods exports of different technique content on economic growth are different. In the sample time, the medium-tech manufactured goods exports have played a greater role in the economic growth, followed by low-tech manufactured goods exports, while the high-tech manufactured goods exports on economic growth temporarily has no positive effect.

关 键 词：制成品出口 技术结构 经济增长 动态化技术分类 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]