张掖市产业部门用水关联分析  

Linkage Analysis of Water Use among Industrial Sectors in Zhangye City

作　　者：马忠[1] 石培基[1] 胡科[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院城市与资源学系,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《地球科学进展》2010年第6期666-672,共7页Advances in Earth Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"水资源环境经济综合核算(SEEAW)研究--以黑河流域张掖市为例"(编号:09XTJ003);甘肃省自然科学研究基金项目"张掖市水资源实物投入产出表的编制与应用"(编号:096RJZA114);国家自然科学基金项目"内陆河流域城镇体系与流域空间结构相互作用的生态经济效应研究--以石羊河流域为例"(编号:40971078)资助

摘　　要：在用水系数基础上分析经济部门用水关联的方法存在局限。应用改进的假设抽取法(HEM)关联分析方法,以2002年张掖市地区水利用投入产出表数据为例,定量测算了张掖市产业部门间用水的关联作用。结果证实,①经济系统虚拟水转移与实体水利用存在总量平衡的关系,在一定的经济结构下,最终需求总量不变时,其结构调整不会对用水总量产生影响;②改进的HEM法将系数比较转化为实际用水数量组成因素分解,更直观、明确地量化了部门间以及部门内部用水关联。The traditional linkage analysis by input/output model on water use based on direct and indirect consumer coefficients have some limitations.Introducing modified HEM（Hypothetical Extraction Method）method,which is based on the vertically integrated measures and the linkages analysis known as the HEM,the author made an analysis the behavior of industrial sectors of Zhangye economy as direct and indirect consumers of water.With Zhangye water use input-output regional table in 2002 applied,the results confirmed that：①In certain economic structure,there is an overall balance between the amount of virtual water and the physical water use in economy,when the total final demand is given,its structural change will not have an impact on the total physical water use volume;②Compared with the traditional linkage analysis method,this methodology can quantify the linkages analysis of water use more explicitly.

关 键 词：投入产出 水利用 产业关联 纵向集成消耗 假设抽取法 

分 类 号：F407[经济管理—产业经济]