Dynamic Tracking and Comprehensive Evaluation on the Natural Resources Security Elements and System in China  

作　　者：Yao Yulong Zhou Hong 

机构地区：[1]Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China [2]Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China1,2

出　　处：《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》2010年第2期32-39,共8页中国人口·资源与环境（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant nos.70873119 and 40871253);Chinese Academy of Sciences Knowledge Innovation Program(Grant no.066U0401SZ)

摘　　要：System theory,pressure-state-response and drivingpressure-state-impact-response model have been applied to establishing China's dynamic tracking evaluation system of natural resources security in this article.Based on analytic hierarchy process and Delphi methods,the natural resources security situation has been evaluated systematically from 1991 to 2007.The result showed that the overall level of China's natural resources security presented a downtrend from 1991 to 2007.The basic reasons are the pressure indicators such as population,GDP,natural resources trade increased gradually,resulting in tension and fragility of natural resources security.System theory, pressure-state-response and drivingpressure-state-impact-response model have been applied to establishing China＇s dynamic tracking evaluation system of natural resources security in this article. Based on analytic hierarchy process and Delphi methods, the natural resources security situation has been evaluated systematically from 1991 to 2007. The result showed that the overall level of China＇s natural resources security presented a downtrend from 1991 to 2007. The basic reasons are the pressure indicators such as population, GDP, natural resources trade increased gradually, resulting in tension and fragility of natural resources security.

关 键 词：natural resources security indicator system dynamic tracking comprehensive evaluation 

分 类 号：TP311.132[自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论] P96[自动化与计算机技术—计算机科学与技术]