物价、短期国际资本流动、贸易收支——分析人民币升值的三重视角  

Domestic Prices, Short-Term International Capital Flows, Trade Payment——Analysis on the Triple Perspective of RMB Appreciation

作　　者：俞建雄[1] 黄哲[2] 

机构地区：[1]闽西职业技术学院,福建龙岩364021 [2]中南财经政法大学新华金融保险学院,湖北武汉430073

出　　处：《漳州师范学院学报（哲学社会科学版）》2010年第2期10-14,共5页Journal of Zhangzhou Teachers College:Philosophy and Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目"促进我国国际收支基本平衡对策研究"(编号:08BJL045)

摘　　要：近期国内面临一定的通胀压力,外部失衡的问题也日益突出,人民币面临着巨大的升值压力。理论上,人民币升值是减少贸易顺差同时缓减国内通货膨胀的有效途径。然而,自2005年7月汇率体制改革以来,人民币汇率稳步升值,但是贸易顺差增长过快的势头没有得到缓解,国内物价又有上升的倾向。从物价、短期资本流动、贸易收支三个角度对人民币升值的效应进行分析,当有助于这一问题的理解和判断。Recently China is confronting some inflation pressures,and external imbalances have become an increasingly prominent issue,so the RMB is facing tremendous pressure of appreciation.Theoretically,the RMB appreciation is an effective way to reduce the trade surplus,and to alleviate the domestic inflation.Actually,the RMB exchange rate against other countries has appreciated steadily since the reform of exchange system carried out in China in July,2005,but the trade surplus has still increased excessively quickly,and the price also has a tendency to rise.This article makes an analysis on the RMB appreciation effect based on three facts： the price,the short-term international capital flows and the trade payment.

关 键 词：物价 短期资本流动 国际贸易 汇率 

分 类 号：F831.6[经济管理—金融学]