创意产品贸易决定因素及对双边总贸易的影响  

Determinants of Trade in Creative Products and Its Effect on Total Volume of Bilateral Trade

作　　者：戴翔[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学国际经济贸易学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2010年第6期46-50,56,共6页World Economy Studies

基　　金：高校省级优秀青年人才基金项目<安徽省创意产业贸易发展及相关政策研究>(项目编号:2010SQRW047)的阶段性研究成果

摘　　要：近年来,创意产品贸易取得了史无前例的发展,成为全球贸易的新增长点。本文以标准的垄断竞争模型为基础,构建了分析创意产品贸易决定因素及其对双边总贸易影响的计量方程,并采用PPML估计法进行实证分析。结果表明,创意产品贸易具有偏好"传染性",进而对后期创意产品贸易具有促进作用;而创意产品贸易发展对双边总贸易发展也具有明显的带动作用。据此本文认为,在后危机时代短期内外需持续低迷的情况下,大力发展中国创意产品出口贸易并提升其国际竞争力,不失为稳外需、保出口增长的有效措施之一。In recent years,trade in creative products develops rapidly and has been becoming the new trade growth engine.Based on the standard Monopolistic competition model,this paper establishes the econometric model to analyze determinants of trade in creative products and their impacts on bilateral general trade and then gives empirical analysis by using PPML method.The results show that trade in creative products can transmit preference among trading nations,which will give impetus to future trade in creative products and general trade.Based on the above analysis,this paper argues that when oversea market′s demand is still low in post-financial crisis,to develop and improve international competitiveness of China′s trade in creative products may compose the effective measures for stabilizing oversea market′s demand and China′s export growth.

关 键 词：创意产品 垄断竞争模型 PPML估计法 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]