基于省际面板数据模型的地方财政科技投入与经济增长的关系研究  

Research on the Relationship between Regional Financial S&T Input and Economic Growth Based on the Provincial Panel Data Model

作　　者：李惠娟[1] 赵静敏[2] 马元三[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学管理学院,江苏徐州221116 [2]徐州工程学院经济学院,江苏徐州221006

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2010年第13期44-48,共5页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学基金项目(09YJAZH109);徐州市软科学项目(XM09B122);徐州市科技发展基金项目(XJ08078);徐州市科技计划基金项目(XM08C013)

摘　　要：地方财政科技投入与经济增长关系密切。目前,在两者关系的估算研究中存在数据折算、累积和模型滞后期等问题。所以,采用1998—2007年的31个省(区、市)际面板数据,分别对数据折算、累积和滞后期等问题给出相应的处理方法,并分析了地方财政科技投入与经济增长的关系。结果表明:地方财政科技投入对各省经济增长起到促进作用,而且弹性相同,但由于各省的软硬件基础条件相异,所以对经济增长的促进程度不一;地方财政科技投入对经济增长的滞后效应明显,在第3年达到最大。各省应优化投资结构,促进科技投入对象多元化,建立高水平的科技投入配置机制与绩效评价体系,以提高科技资金的使用效率。The relationship between regional financial ST input and economic growth is closely. At present, there are some problems such as data conversion, data accumulation and lag model in the estimation of the relationships. This paper puts forward solutions to these problems and analyzes the relationship using panel data of 31 provinces from 1998 to 2007. The result shows that regional financial ST input can promote economic growth of every province and the elasticities are the same. However, because of different software and hardware infrastructure, the promote level are different. Regional financial ST input can promote economic growth, but there are lag effect and maximum value in the third year. At last, some suggestion are proposed to improve the efficiency of ST financial input such as optimizing investment structure, promoting diversity of ST input object, setting up ST input allocation mechanism and performance appraisal system of high level.

关 键 词：地方财政科技投入 经济增长 面板数据模型 省际数据 

分 类 号：F204[经济管理—国民经济]