灰色局势决策在烤烟品种综合评价中的应用  

Comprehensive appraisal of new flue-cured tobacco varieties with grey situation decision making

作　　者：孟祥东[1] 张学杰[1] 赵铭钦[1] 刘国顺[1] 程玉渊[2] 

机构地区：[1]河南农业大学烟草学院国家烟草栽培生理生化研究基地,郑州450002 [2]河南省烟草公司南阳分公司,河南南阳473061

出　　处：《中国农业大学学报》2010年第1期95-98,共4页Journal of China Agricultural University

基　　金：国家烟草专卖局重大科技攻关项目(110200401004)

摘　　要：针对烤烟品种综合评价传统分析方法仅从一个性状进行分析,对其他性状仅做定性描述导致评价结果不够准确的问题,运用灰色系统理论中的灰色局势决策原理,对河南省南阳地区的烤烟品种进行综合评价。结果表明:在注重性状权重的情况下,烤烟品种综合性状的优劣次序依次为云烟87、云烟85、中烟100、中烟98、K326、9717、8541、39511和中烟101;这与生产上南阳地区烤烟主栽品种为云烟87和云烟85,搭配品种为中烟100和K326的实际情况基本一致。灰色局势决策法为烤烟新品种的综合评价提供了一种较为全面的量化分析方法,解决了多目标间的不可公度性和目标间的矛盾性,弥补了传统分析方法仅从产量单一性状指标入手导致偏颇的不足。In view of the problems of comprehensive evaluation traditional analysis of flue-cured tobacco varieties which was analyzed by the analysis of only one trait,as well as the qualitative description from other traits,the tobacco varieties in NanYang were tested and a comprehensive appraisal was made by grey situation decision making approach.The results indicated that when the weighted trait were considered,the order of pros and cons of flue-cured tobacco variety is yunyan87,yunyan85,zhongyan100,zhongyan98,k326,9717,8541,39511,and zhongyan101.The analytical results are in accordance with practical ones.The decision law of the grey situation is a kind of comprehensive quantitative analytical method,which provides an approach for evaluating the new variety of the flue-cured tobacco,and can be used to resolve the incommensurability of multiple objectives and contradictions among them,and to compensate for the deficiency of the traditional analytical method.

关 键 词：灰色局势决策 烤烟 品种 综合评价 

分 类 号：S114[农业科学—农业基础科学]