东部能耗变动的分解分析与节能因素比较  

Analysis of Energy Consumption Change and Comparison of Energy-saving Factors in East China

作　　者：王迪[1] 聂锐[1] 张炎治[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学管理学院,江苏徐州221116

出　　处：《软科学》2010年第7期43-48,共6页Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(90410015);教育部哲学社会科学研究后期资助项目(08JHQ0053)

摘　　要：基于能耗变动的视角,运用改进的Laspeyres指数分解的完全形式对1997～2007年间中国东部地区的节能因素进行了对比分析,认为技术进步与结构变动是区域节能的主要影响因素,而经济增长是促进能耗逐年增长的主导因素;在区域与整体的对比分析的基础上,认为能源技术进步是节能的主要因素,实现了36.5%的节能作用,其中工业能效提高是节能因素的重中之重;产业结构优化的节能效应在短期内并不显著,且呈"U"型变化趋势,根源在于工业部门投资效应与能源消费的滞后影响;最后通过东部三大区域节能效应的比较,给出了产业结构优化、能源结构优化、节能技术进步等方面的政策建议。This paper discusses the factors influencing eastern Chinese energy consumption from 1997 to 2007 based on Laspeyres-index complete decomposition method,and obtains some conclusions that：economic growth is the main factor of regional energy consumption growth,and technological progress and structural adjustment play an important role in energy conservation; the sector energy efficiency improvement is the dominant factor,which achieves the rate of 36.5% in energy conservation,and industrial sector＇s energy efficiency is the main reason for energy conservation; energy-saving effect of structural adjustment is not obvious,and shows U-curve; further study indicates that the industrial sector structure and its investment effect advance the energy consumption for its lag effects. Finally,this paper gives some policy suggestions according to the comparison of energy-saving effect of three regions in eastern,such as industrial structure adjusting,energy structure optimization,energy efficiency elevation,etc.

关 键 词：结构变动 技术进步 经济增长 节能 完全分解模型 

分 类 号：F206[经济管理—国民经济]