近十年来广东省旅游客流变动分析  

THE EVOLVEMENT OF TOURIST FLOW OVER THE PAST TEN YEARS IN GUANGDONG PROVINCE

作　　者：王章郡[1] 方忠权[1] 

机构地区：[1]广州大学中法旅游学院,中国广东广州510006

出　　处：《经济地理》2010年第7期1200-1204,共5页Economic Geography

摘　　要：将城市潜在出游力作为衡量旅游输出地的指标,利用城市旅游收入作为衡量旅游接待地的指标,应用spearman秩相关分析等方法对两个指标进行位序分析可以发现省域层面的旅游客流变动规律。以广东省21个地级市1999年和2008年的统计数据为基础,研究发现:①广东省域内存在明显的旅游输出地与接待地趋同现象。②根据旅游客流的演变,各地级市可分为输出趋向型、输入趋向型和变动稳定型三种类型。③旅游客流流量的大小和经济发展水平密切相关,发达地区是主要的旅游目的地和客源地。As actual tourism expenditure of a city is not always been easy to obtain,this paper invent latent domestic emissiveness（LDE） as a substitutive index to evaluate the tourism emissiveness of a city.In a provincial scale,by contrasting LDE with tourism income,a good index to evaluate the tourism attraction,we can get the law how tourist flow changes using the method of Sequential Pattern Analysis.Based on the statistic data of 21 cities in Guangdong province in 1999 and 2008,this paper gets some conclusion as follows： ①there is high relevance degree between tourism emissiveness and tourism attraction in the 21 Guangdong cities,and the relevance degree has been getting higher through the years.②According to the evolvement of the tourist flow,we can divide the 21 Guangdong cities into three types.③The tourist flow of a city is closely related to its economic development level.Highly developed cities not only have high tourism emissiveness but also are ideal tourism destinations.

关 键 词：旅游客流 潜在出游力 位序分析 广东省 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]