基于生态足迹和灰色关联度的湖南省可持续发展研究  

Study on Sustainable Development in Hunan Province Based on Ecological Footprint and Grey Correlation Theory

作　　者：张黎明[1] 文倩[1] 霍金炜[1] 彭昕[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南农业大学资源环境学院,湖南长沙410128

出　　处：《农业现代化研究》2010年第4期459-461,共3页Research of Agricultural Modernization

基　　金：湖南农业大学人才引进项目"区域土地利用/覆被变化与生态响应机制"(编号:690502)

摘　　要：本文采用生态足迹分析法对湖南省1998~2007年的生态足迹和生态承载力进行了测算,并应用灰色关联度分析法研究了湖南省经济增长与资源消耗的关系。结果表明：湖南省人均生态足迹和生态承载力都出现了增长,但生态足迹增长的速度高于生态承载力,人均生态足迹供需发生了由盈余到出现赤字且逐年恶化的变化。草地、水域生态足迹与经济发展的关联度最大,第一产业对生态赤字的影响最大,第三产业对生态赤字的影响最小。The method of ecological footprint was used to calculate the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of the Hunan Province from 1998 to 2007 years in this paper.Then the relationship between resource consumption and economic development was analyzed based on the Gray Relational Analysis Method.The results showed that： The per capita ecological footprint and ecological capacity growth have emerged in,the supply and demand of per capita ecological footprint have taken place big changes from a surplus to a deficit and gradually worsened because the rate of ecological footprint growth is higher than the ecological carrying capacity＇s.The meadow and water footprint associated the greatest degree with the economic development.The primary industry have greatest impact on the ecological deficit while the tertiary industry with minimal impact.

关 键 词：生态足迹 可持续发展 生态赤字 灰色关联度 

分 类 号：S-0[农业科学]