一种引入电量预测与竞争因子的电耗奖惩方法  

A power consumption rewards method considering electricity forecasting and competition factor

作　　者：吴芳慈[1] 罗安[1] 赵伟[1] 姜中华[1] 孟金岭[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学电气与信息工程学院,湖南长沙410082

出　　处：《电工电能新技术》2010年第3期58-62,共5页Advanced Technology of Electrical Engineering and Energy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(60774043);国家863计划项目(2004AA001032)

摘　　要：本文提出了一种引入电量预测与竞争因子的企业电耗奖惩方法,该方法首先采用电量预测模型对企业各单位的用电量进行准确预测,将其与各单位的实际用电量进行比较,根据其实际节能情况引入不同奖惩系数制定分级奖惩制度,此外,在各单位之间引入竞争因子,对节能效益高的单位进行额外奖励,在各单位之间形成竞争机制,综合两方面的比较结果得出最终的奖惩金额,从而建立一个先进的、有效的、通用的智能企业电耗奖惩模型,降低企业的运营成本。某炼油厂的应用效果证明了此电耗奖惩方法的先进性和有效性,达到了为企业节能降耗、提高生产效率提供奖惩依据的目的。A power consumption rewards method for corporation, considering electricity forecasting and competition factor, is proposed in this paper. In this method, a grey consumption of corporation departments, then the results dynamic model is used to accurately forecast the electricity of the model are compared with real electricity consump： tion of each department. On the basis of the different energy-saving status, rewards coefficient is introduced to establish classification of rewards system. Besides, competition factor is introduced in order to give additional reward to the departments which make higher energy-saving benefits, resulting a competition mechanism among depart- ments. Considering two aspects of comparison results, the final reward value is confirmed eventually. So that an ad- vanced, effective and general corporation power consumption rewards model is built and the operation cost-of corpo- ration is decreased. The effect of application in a refinery proves the advantage and validity of this power consumption rewards method. Hence, it achieves the goal of reward foundation that providing energy saving and improving production efficiency for corporation.

关 键 词：电耗奖惩 灰色预测 分级奖惩 竞争因子 

分 类 号：TM769[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]