中国流通业发展与居民消费增长的实证研究  

An Empirical Study on the Development of Circulation Industry and Resident Consumption Growth

作　　者：张连刚[1] 李兴蓉[2] 

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学工商管理学院,四川成都611130 [2]赣南师范学院商学院,江西赣州341000

出　　处：《广东商学院学报》2010年第4期53-60,共8页Journal of Guangdong University of Business Studies

基　　金：西南财经大学"十一五""211工程"三期特色研究项目(211D3T10);西南财经大学"创新人才培养基金"项目

摘　　要：利用1990年～2008年中国东中西部各省份有关居民消费增长水平和流通业发展的数据,采用PanelData的Granger因果关系检验和以此检验结果为基础的PanelData模型进行实证研究的结果表明:流通业发展是居民消费增长的原因,但流通业发展对东中西部地区居民消费增长的影响存在较大差异,西部地区的流通业对居民消费增长的作用程度仅仅为东部地区的一半,西部地区流通业发展滞后直接影响了该地区居民消费增长的速度。为促进流通产业的发展,应明确流通产业地位,更新流通发展观念,提高中西部地区城市化水平,加强流通基础设施建设等。Based on the Granger causality tests and the unit root tests for panel data,this paper empirically investigates the relationship between the resident consumption growth and the development of circulation industry in the eastern,,central and western region of China from 1990 to 2008.The empirical results show that the development of circulation industry causes the growth of consumption in eastern,central and western regions.The results also reveal that there are obvious differences among these regions.The effect degree that the circulation industry has on resident consumption growth of western region is only half of that in eastern region.The slow development of circulation industry directly affects the growth rate of resident consumption growth in western region.To promote the development of circulation industry,we should make clear the status of circulation industry and renew development ideas of circulation industry.Meanwhile,measures should also be taken to improve urbanization level of central and western regions,and to strengthen the infrastructure construction of circulation industry,etc.

关 键 词：流通产业 居民消费 PANELDATA模型 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济] F124.7F224