基于不确定条件下的北京电源规划优化模型  

Optimization models for Beijing's generation expansion planning under uncertainties

作　　者：梁宇希[1] 黄国和[1,2] 林千果 张晓萱[1] 牛彦涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学能源与环境研究中心,北京102206 [2]Environmental Systems Engineering Program,Faculty of Engineering,University of Regina

出　　处：《电力系统保护与控制》2010年第15期53-59,共7页Power System Protection and Control

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展计划(973)项目资助(NO.2005CB724200和NO.2006CB403307)~~

摘　　要：电源规划是电力系统中非常重要的规划,直接影响系统今后运行的可靠性、经济性、电能质量、网络结构及其将来的发展。以北京地区为例,建立了一个不确定性电源规划优化模型。本模型引入区间混合整数线性规划方法,可以有效地解决电源规划模型中存在的不确定性问题和发电机组的装机扩建问题。结果表明:北京市将初步建立起以煤、气发电为主,新能源和可再生能源发电等为补充的多元化电源结构,为首都经济社会发展和人民生活水平的提高提供安全可靠、稳定充足的电力供应。Generation expansion planning,which plays a vital role in electric power system,has a great influence on the reliability,economics,electricity quality,network structure and development of electric power system in the future.In this study,an uncertainty optimization model for Beijing＇s generation expansion planning is developed.An interval parameter integrating mixes-integer programming techniques is introduced,which can effectively handle not only the uncertainties expressed as interval numbers,but also the installed power generation capacity-expansion issues.And the application shows that a diversified electricity structure,which is supplied through coal fired electricity and nature gas fired electricity mainly,new energy and reproducible energy etal as a supplement,will be established.It would provide steady and plenteous electricity for the economic and social development of Beijing,and also,for improving our people＇s lives.

关 键 词：不确定性 电源规划 区间规划 装机扩建 优化 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]