中国粮食贸易中的虚拟水流动格局与成因分析——兼论“虚拟水战略”在我国的适用性  

Analysis on Virtual Water Flows Pattern Embedded in China's Crops Trade and Its Causes ——Added Discussion on the Applicability of"Virtual Water Strategy"in China

作　　者：孙才志[1] 刘玉玉[1] 陈丽新[1] 张蕾[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,辽宁大连116029

出　　处：《中国软科学》2010年第7期36-44,共9页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(07BJY066)

摘　　要：本文从资源禀赋、资源优化配置、经济价值以及自然属性等角度对粮食虚拟水流动格局的驱动成因进行探讨,利用改进的数据包络分析法对中国各地区农业资源利用相对效率测算的,结果表明,中国农业资源利用效率具有很大的提高潜力。对"虚拟水战略"在我国实施的适用性进行分析,针对以上结果提出了保障国家粮食安全与水安全方面的相关建议。This paper discusses the real causes of the virtual water flow pattern with different angles ： the endowment and optimizing allocation of resources, economic value, natural attributes and consumption structure. The relative efficiency of agricultural resources utilization has been measured in 2000 and 2007 in different regions of China by the revised data envelopment analysis model （ DEA）, which shows that the efficiency has great potential to improve and the economic growth of China will not be a threat to food security in itself and the world. Then,we analyze the applicability of ＂virtual water strategy＂. Some suggestions about the security of national food and water resource are presented simultaneously.

关 键 词：虚拟水流动 粮食贸易 成因分析 虚拟水战略 

分 类 号：F323.213[经济管理—产业经济]