我国货币供给规模与经济增长关系的实证研究——基于Enger-Granger协整理论分析  

Research on the relationship between the currency supply scale and the economic growth——Analysis based on the Enger-Granger co-integration theory

作　　者：刘思佳[1] 卓德保[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海师范大学商学院

出　　处：《经济研究导刊》2010年第23期146-148,共3页Economic Research Guide

摘　　要：金融是现代经济的核心,在经济增长中的促进作用日趋明显。货币供给量的变动是政府进行宏观调控的主要手段。在金融危机的背景下,研究货币供给变动对经济增长的作用尤为重要。通过Engle-Granger两步法和误差修正模型（ECM）验证了货币供给量、年末贷款与GDP之间存在长期和短期波动关系,并证明其长期的作用更为明显。这对分析和了解我国宏观经济政策具有深远的意义。Financial is the core of modern economy, in economic growth is becoming increasingly significant role in promoting supply amount changes. money is the government of the main means of control. the financial crisis in the background, the money supply to changes in economic growth is particularly important role. Through Engle-Granger two steps and the fixed model（ ECM）verify that the monetary supply amount, the loan with the gdp is a long-term and short-term volatility, and prove its long-term role more obvious that the analysis and understanding of our macroeconomic policy has a far-reaching significance.

关 键 词：货币供给规模 金融发展 经济增长 协整检验 

分 类 号：F820.3[经济管理—财政学]