中国出生性别比偏高的长期人口后果  

Long-term Demographic Consequence of China’s High Sex Ratio at Birth

作　　者：陈卫[1] 李敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心,北京100872

出　　处：《人口与发展》2010年第4期33-37,52,共6页Population and Development

摘　　要：20世纪80年代以来,中国的人口出生性别比出现了迅速、持续增高的现象和趋势,这对未来中国人口的发展会产生不可忽视的影响。根据不同的性别比方案预测我国人口未来百年的发展状况,考察出生性别比偏高对人口总量、出生人口规模、总人口抚养比以及婚姻市场的性别比等产生的影响。出生性别比偏高会降低出生人口规模、加速人口老龄化以及造成婚姻挤压等人口后果。China＇s sex ratio at birth has experienced rapid increase since 1980s which signifi- cantly impact the future development of China＇s population. This paper uses projections for the future population to study the impacts of high sex ratio at birth to the size of population, the size of births, the total population dependency ratio as well as marriage squeeze. The Results show that high sex ratio at birth will reduce the size of the population and accelerate the process of population aging as well as causing marriage squeeze etc.

关 键 词：出生性别比 人口发展 长期后果 

分 类 号：C924.24[社会学—人口学]