生产性服务业和制造业共生演化模型研究  

Research about Symbiotic Evolvement of Producer Services and Manufacturing Industry

作　　者：庞博慧[1] 郭振[2] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨商业大学管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150028 [2]哈尔滨商业大学经济学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150028

出　　处：《经济管理》2010年第9期28-35,共8页Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )

基　　金：国家软科学研究计划项目"东北老工业基地技术创新体系实现模式研究"(2005DGQ4D148)

摘　　要：生产性服务业和制造业的关系一直是学术界关注的热点问题。本文从共生理论视角解释生产性服务业与制造业的互动关系。生产性服务业和制造业的共生演化态势呈现出复杂的行为与轨迹,在共生互动模式下,生产性服务业与制造业的最大环境容量和自然增长率都不断变化。采用分段Logistic曲线叠加可以精确描述生产性服务业和制造业的共生演化过程。本文运用黑龙江省1983～2007年的生产性服务业和制造业有关数据,对二者共生演化模型进行了检验和分析。It is always an important academic topic about the relationship between producer services and manu- facturing industry. The dynamic progress of symbiotic evolution between them is complex and variational. In this paper, the interactive development mechanism between producer services and manufacturing industry is explained based on biologic symbiosis theory. The maximum population density and the growth rate of producer services and manufacturing industry are changeable in the mode of mutualism. In this paper, a segmented Logistic function is used to describe accurately the symbiotic evolution process, the evolutionary mechanisms of symbiosis between producer services and manufacturing industry is analyzed, and the maximum population capacity is also modeled and predicted. Based on the data of Heilongjiang province from 1983 to 2007, the symbiotic evolutionary process of producer services and manufacturing industry is analyzed practically.

关 键 词：生产性服务业 制造业 共生 演化模型 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]