基于Monte Carlo模拟法和Markov过程理论效果评估研究  

Studies of Monte Carlo Simulations and Markov Process to Estimating Effect of Naval Mine-sweeping

作　　者：陈信钦[1,2] 林春生[1] 张永志[3] 

机构地区：[1]海军工程大学兵器工程系 [2]63880部队 [3]蚌埠坦克学院

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》2010年第4期730-733,共4页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

基　　金：国防预研项目资助(批准号:9140A03050707JB55)

摘　　要：在扫雷作业过程中会出现许多复杂的随机性问题,用确定性方法对扫雷效果进行评估给出其近似解是很困难的,甚至是不可能的;而在水雷工作制度、扫雷概率以及水雷最大定次未知的情况下,对非接触扫雷雷区的状态进行评估,是实用上最常遇到的问题.针对上述情况,设计实现了基于Monte Carlo模拟法和Markov过程理论的扫雷作业模拟和评估模型,并对模型进行了仿真计算,验证了模型的正确性.There will be lots of complicated stochastic problems in any mine-sweeping fight,and it is difficult even impossible to evaluate it and present its solution which is based on deterministic method.However,To find a key to solve the problem related to estimation of mine area status is very important,especially without some necessary parameters,such as working condition of mine,sweeping probability,maxcount of mine etc.In this article,a scientific model founded on Monte Carlo simulations and Markov process was put forward,its validity was tested and verified by means of emulation.

关 键 词：蒙特卡罗随机模拟 扫雷概率 雷区状态评估 马尔可夫过程 

分 类 号：TJ01[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术]