中国金融发展与经济开放关系的实证分析  

Empirical Analysis on Correlations of Financial Development and Economic Openness in China

作　　者：熊芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南民族大学经济学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《金融发展研究》2010年第8期7-11,共5页Journal Of Financial Development Research

基　　金：国家社科基金<民族地区微型金融机构(MFIs)社会扶贫功能的保障机制研究>(项目编号:09CMZ021);国家软科学研究计划<中国农村内生金融与经济发展:理论;实证与制度创新>(项目编号:2009GXS5B067)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：本文对我国1978-2006年间的金融发展、资本账户开放、经常账户开放以及大银行集团等变量的实证研究表明:强大的银行集团不利于金融发展;不过,即使考虑大银行集团的影响,资本账户和经常账户开放都对金融发展具有显著而稳定的促进作用,但两者同时开放将削弱这一作用;并且,随着经济开放度增加,资本账户和经常账户开放对金融发展的促进作用将不断降低。因此,成功的经济开放不仅要考虑合意的开放次序,同时还要谨慎把握开放的速度和程度。This paper investigates the correlations of Chinese financial development,capital account openness,current account openness and large bank groups with the data from 1978 to 2006.The results indicate that strong bank groups have adverse impact on financial development;however,even so,capital and current account openness has significant and positive effects on financial development,and simultaneous openness of them will erode the effects.Capital and current account openness’s impetus to financial development gradually decreases as openness degree increases.These results show that the capital and current account openness speed and extent as well as reasonable sequence should be considered to ensure the success of economic openness.

关 键 词：资本账户 金融发展 经常账户 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]