基于AHP方法的江苏丰县苹果品种筛选实证研究  

Demonstration Study on the Screening of Apple Cultivars in Fengxian County of Jiangsu Province Based on AHP Method

作　　者：卜振兴[1] 朱新华[2] 陈欣[3] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院,天津300457 [2]天津财经大学商学院企业管理系,天津300222 [3]天津财经大学商学院管理科学与工程系,天津300222

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2010年第22期12186-12188,12207,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：科学的种植决策,不仅能够充分地利用本地资源,调整产品结构,而且能够更好地满足社会需求,提高种植者的经济效益。然而在种植的决策过程中,决策往往单纯地依赖于人们长期以来获得的经验。依据这些经验的决策,总是很大程度上加进了决策者的个人因素,造成决策的偏差。AHP层次分析法是一种将定性分析与定量分析相结合的系统分析方法,它可以将人的主观判断用数量形式表达和处理,因此较好地解决了这个问题。首先阐述了AHP的相关理论,然后构建了评价体系,运用层次分析法对江苏省丰县果树品种进行了选择。同时,该评价体系对其他植物的选种决策也具有借鉴意义。Scientific apple planter decision-making not only can make full use of local resources,but it also can adjust the product structure,satisfy the needs of the society better,and enhance the economic efficiency of planter.However,in the planter decision-making process,the decision-making often bases on the experience that the person obtains long ago.Resting on these experiences,the decision mostly adds the decision-maker own factors into it.AHP （analytic hierarchy process） is a systematic approach that combines the analysis of the qualitative and quantitative,and it can exhibit or deal with the objective adjustments in quantity method,so it could well solve this question.Firstly,the related theories of AHP were expounded.Then,by building the evaluation system,AHP was used to make the choice about the kinds of fruit trees in Fengxian County of Jiangsu Province.At the same time,this decision-making of other kinds of plants can also learn from this evaluation system.

关 键 词：多目标决策 层次分析法 果树品种 

分 类 号：F307.2[经济管理—产业经济]